Follow the Water: Emerging Issues of Climate Change and Conflict in Peru


Publisher: United States Agency for International Development (USAID)

Author(s): Jeffrey Stark, Sergio Guillén, and Cynthia Brady

Date: 2012

Topics: Climate Change

Countries: Peru

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This study explores how the effects of climate change on water quantity, quality, and access may be factoring into aspects of localized instability, fragility, and conflict in Peru. To help guide the methodological approach, FESS developed a seven-phase framework—the Climate Change and Conflict Assessment Framework (CCCAF). The framework emphasizes one of the main conclusions of recent conflict analysis: conflict is always the result of the interactions of multiple political, economic, social, historical, and cultural factors, and these must be taken into account in any analysis. Moreover, the quality of governance and the resilience of political, economic, and social institutions all mediate the relationship between environmental change and conflict in important ways. The influence of climate change and climate-related policy and program responses on instability and conflict can only be understood within this web of relationships.