Does Disaster Contribute to Armed Conflict? A Quantitative Analysis of Disaster–Conflict Co-Occurrence between 1990 and 2017


Publisher: International Journal of Development Issues

Author(s): Nicolas Caso, Dorothea Hilhorst, Rodrigo Mena, and Elissaios Papyrakis

Date: 2024

Topics: Conflict Causes, Conflict Prevention, Disasters

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Disasters and armed conflict often co-occur, but does that imply that disasters trigger or fuel conflict? In the small but growing body of literature attempting to answer this question, divergent findings indicate the complex and contextual nature of a potential answer to this question. The purpose of this study is to contribute a robust cross-country analysis of the co-occurrence of disaster and conflict, with a particular focus on the potential role played by disaster.