Indonesia in 2035: Climate Risks to Security in the Indo-Pacific
Publisher: Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Author(s): Michael Copage, Robert Glasser, and Isabelle Bond
Date: 2025
Topics: Assessment, Climate Change, Conflict Causes, Governance, Programming
Countries: Indonesia
The Indo-Pacific region is particularly exposed to climate impacts, and Indonesia, like many countries, will be severely affected by climate impacts in the decade to come. The effects of climate-amplified disasters, combined with the political, social and economic consequences of climate impacts originating from within and across the region, will strain Indonesia’s economic and national-security interests.
This report presents the findings of a narrative-driven scenario to stress-test Indonesia’s climate risks emerging by 2035. Its objective is to identify opportunities for Indonesia and its economic and strategic partners to prepare for and mitigate the risks.