Can Climate Change-Induced Resource Scarcity Increase the Likelihood of Conflict?

Apr 21, 2026 | Anna Wallace
View Original

How does climate change-induced resource scarcity shape civil conflict? The first of a two-part blog series examines how environmental pressures act as a threat multiplier, intensifying competition, weakening livelihoods, and amplifying existing socioeconomic tensions. It explores key mechanisms linking scarcity to violence, while highlighting the central role of governance and institutions in preserving human security.